Ceris-CNR Working paper 07/2001

LE MARTINGALE:ASPETTI TEORICI ED APPLICATIVI
[The martingales: theoretical and empirical characteristics]

Fabrizio Erbetta
(Ceris-Cnr)

e

Luca Agnello

 

Settembre 2001

Abstract

This paper offers an overview on the characteristics of martingales. These latter are markovian processes without underlying trend, in which the stochastic variable depends on its ultimate realisation. Some application fields are in studies relative to financial markets, and especially the derivative securities. Drawing from the theoretical and empirical literature, the main mathematical characteristics are presented. In order to transform processes with increasing or decreasing trends into martingales, the Doob-Meyer decomposition and the change of probability measure approaches can be adopted. Finally, four applications are considered with regard to the pricing of futures, call options and stocks.

 

Keywords: Martingales, stochastic processes, calculus of probability
Jel Classification: G12, G13, D81

SCARICA QUESTO WP

Desidero ringraziare Silvana Zelli e Maria Zittino per la loro costante e preziosa collaborazione tecnica nella predisposizione di questo paper.