Possible technological determinants and primary energy resources of future long waves

 Mario Coccia
National Research Council (Italy)
CERIS-CNR

via Real Collegio, n. 30, 10024 Moncalieri (Torino) - Italy
Tel.: +39 011 68 24 925; fax : +39 011 68 24 966
m.coccia@ceris.cnr.it

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to conjecture the possible underlying technological determinants of future long waves, based on prominent studies of scholars and leading forecasting companies; in particular, this research assumes the converging of nano-bio-info-cogno technologies to be the foundation of 5^th and 6^th economic cycles, whereas the future technological revolution that may underpin the 7^th long wave is assumed to be Faster-Than-Light technologies. The positive effects of these future technological revolutions on worldwide economic system are a high increase of productivity, employment rate, consumption and economic growth that lead to longer, happier, and healthier living as well as general well-being.

Keywords: Long Waves, Technological Revolution, Forecasting, Foresight

 JEL-codes: E30, E37, O33

I wish to thank Silvana Zelli and Diego Margon for research assistance and the Italian National Research Council for its financial support to this research. This article has been accepted at the 4^th European Conference on Management of Technology held in Scotland.

SCARICA QUESTO WP